Speculation has increased that Donald Trump may not be the Republican nominee despite the fact that he will probably have more pledged delegates than any other candidate at the Republican convention. The thinking goes this way: Republican delegates are required to vote for the candidate to whom they are pledged on the first round of floor voting at the convention. As an example, if Trump won 17 delegates in State X, those 17 delegates would be required to vote for Trump on the first round.
However, at some point after the first ballot the delegates are released and can vote for whomever they want. Just when that happens varies from state to state. Ted Cruz’s organization has worked hard to get delegates appointed to the convention who support him.
So, speculation is that on the first ballot, all delegates will vote for the candidate to whom they are pledged, and Donald Trump will receive a plurality of delegate votes but will fall short of the majority required to win the nomination. On the second or subsequent ballots, delegates will be released to vote for the candidate they support and will switch their votes to Ted Cruz.
Although I consider Donald Trump to be a buffoon and completely unqualified to be president, I consider Ted Cruz to be downright dangerous. It’s impossible to predict what Donald Trump would do as president as his pronouncements are all over spectrum. There is even the possibility (although the evidence is against it) that Donald Trump could be a good president. However, Ted Cruz has been very clear about what he believes, and his beliefs would be disastrous for the United States and for most of its citizens if put into practice.
From Ted Cruz’s Website, here are some quotes:
- Stood for American’s First Amendment rights against Democrats. (I don’t get that. Are Democrats against the First Amendment? It seems to me that most Democrats are much more pro-First Amendment than Ted Cruz is.)
- Defended Hobby Lobby and Conestoga Wood Specialties against Obamacare’s contraception mandate. (In other words, Ted Cruz supports the “right” of employers to force the consequences of their religious beliefs on their employees. When did it become an American value to force your religion on people who work for you?)
- Led the way to preserve the words “under God” in the Pledge of Allegiance at the U.S. Supreme Court. (If you believe that the government has the right to impose religious beliefs on its citizens as is the case in Egypt, Pakistan, and Turkey, this is a good thing. If you believe in the democratic ideal of separation of church and state, it isn’t.)
I suppose we’re dealing with a philosophical issue here. Those who believe that the government and businesses have the right to impose their beliefs on common citizens would probably be happy with a Cruz presidency. However, conservatives claim to be in favor of reduced government interference in our lives. Why is it that Ted Cruz wants more government control over the thoughts and beliefs of its citizens and can still get away with calling himself a conservative?
If Ted Cruz is nominated, I hope that most US citizens will have the good sense to vote against him. I have faith that they will. However, let’s not forget that Hitler, Mussolini, and Putin were elected by a popular vote. It is possible (although I hope unlikely) that the US could also elect a demagogue as president.
If you’re interested in politics, you may be interested in my book Running for President. It’s a fictionalized story of a demagogue who manages to be elected president of the USA. Click on the book’s cover image in the left sidebar to read an excerpt for free an Amazon’s website. The book is available in both printed and Kindle formats.